DegenSeatbelt

Check the tape before you send it.

DEGENSEATBELT · DAILY MARKET RISK PREFLIGHT CHECK

One automated verdict, every morning, before you size up.

Built for options, swing, crypto, and active traders who want a risk read before opening their broker.

Clear Runway
Selective Send
Seatbelt On
Trap Day
Landmine
● LIVE · TRAP DAY
SEND METER30%

Trap-heavy tape. Fresh-entry risk is elevated. This environment punishes late chasing and oversized premium buys.

Open Today

Powered by automated macro, rates, dollar, volatility, options-sentiment, and event-risk data.

Live data engine
44 live 9 proxy 0 off Fully automated
2Y UST yield
10Y UST yield
30Y UST yield
10Y real (TIPS)
Curve 10Y-2Y
Curve 10Y-3M
Rate restrictiveness
Term premium
See all sourcesUnlock full breakdown
Does it actually work?

A real backtest of the live scoring math (model v1.3.0) across 36 years of public FRED data: 9,122 trading days, four bear markets. We grade whether the risk read predicts forward volatility and drawdowns, not price direction. Full-sample results (NASDAQ, 1990 to 2026):

Odds of a >10% drawdown within a month
15%
3%
Forward 20-day volatility
25.3%
15.7%
● Sized up on flagged days● Heeded the seatbelt

These are full-sample numbers. The separation holds across all four bear markets since 1990, and is even wider in the recent cycle (28.4% vs 15.1% vol since 2021). See methodology →

Free vs Pro
Free
  • Today’s verdict
  • Send Meter
  • Verdict scale
  • Share card
Pro · $7/mo
  • Full Why breakdown
  • All source lights
  • Options Seatbelt
  • Event radar
  • Premarket + validation
  • Verdict-flip alerts

Free gives you the daily Seatbelt. Pro shows you the full engine behind it.

See pricing →
FAQ
Is this a signal service?

No. DegenSeatbelt is a market risk preflight check. It gives a daily risk posture, a trap warning, and a source-backed explanation. It never tells you to buy, sell, or pick a strike.

Is the data live?

Macro runs on prior-close data, options sentiment is delayed, and the event calendar is live. We label the freshness of every area honestly and never imply real-time intraday accuracy.

What timescale does it work best on?

It's a daily-to-multi-day risk posture. The backtest measures forward 20-day (about one month) volatility and drawdowns, where the signal separates risk most cleanly. It is not an intraday or day-trading signal.

Who is it for?

Options, swing, crypto and active traders who want a single risk read before opening their broker. One verdict for everyone, so there's nothing to configure.

What does Pro unlock?

The full Why breakdown, all source lights, the Options Seatbelt panel, the event radar, premarket and open-validation updates, and verdict-flip alerts.

Is this financial advice?

No. It is general market-risk context for your own process. Not advice, not a recommendation.

What happens if a data source fails?

It is automatically weighted to zero and shown as off or proxy. Nothing is ever hand-filled. Data confidence drops and the engine keeps running.